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May 8 2006 (6:00 a.m.)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Tropical Prediction Center)

TODAY'S WEATHER

Partly cloudy, dry and hot weather continues over the
North West Caribbean and Belize; and smoky skies cover
the Yucatan peninsula.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will
experience for the next 24 hrs:

Partly cloudy skies today and fair tonight.

The highest temperature will be near 90 degrees F
after midday. Today's winds will be from the East to
East southeast at 5 to 15Kts.

The sea state will be slight to light chop. Seas will
be 3 to 4 feet beyond the reef.

The outlook is for partly cloudy and hot weather to
continue through Wednesday.


Current Weather:
San Pedro Lagoon 0530 hrs
Cloud
5/8 cumulus
Wind (direction & speed)
East southeast 10 Kts.
Tide level
0.53 m
Precipitation
None

Western Caribbean:

MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS
CENTERED OVER GUATEMALA AND IS NEARLY STATIONARY.

ANTICYCLONIC FLOW COVERS A LARGE AREA FROM 5N TO
BEYOND 32N BETWEEN 75W AND ABOUT 105W. STRONG
SUBSIDENCE COVERS THE NW CARIBBEAN.

Central & Eastern Caribbean:

A MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DOMINATES THE FLOW OVER
THIS AREA N OF ABOUT 18N WITH THE AXIS OF THE TROUGH
EXTENDING THROUGH 32N56W TO 25N64W TO 18N75W.

A JET EXTENDS FROM THE BASE OF THE TROUGH NEAR 15N75W
THROUGH 18N64W TO 25N45W.

ANTICYCLONIC FLOW COVERS THE DEEP TROPICS FROM NEAR
THE EQUATOR TO 18N BETWEEN 45W AND 65W.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE LOCATED
ALONG THE TROUGH.

May 9 2006 (6:00 a.m.)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Tropical Prediction Center)

TODAY'S WEATHER

Partly cloudy, dry and hot weather continues over the
North West Caribbean, Belize and the Yucatan
peninsula.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will
experience for the next 24 hrs:

Partly cloudy skies today and fair tonight.

The highest temperature will be near 90 degrees F
after midday. Today's winds will be from the East to
southeast at 5 to 15Kts.

The sea state will be light chop to choppy. Seas will
be 3 to 5 feet beyond the reef.

The outlook is for partly cloudy and hot weather to
continue through Thursday.


Current Weather:
San Pedro Lagoon 0600 hrs
Cloud
3/8 cumulus
Wind (direction & speed)
East southeast 8 Kts.
Tide level
0.53 m
Precipitation
None

Western Caribbean:

A BROAD MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE COVERS MOST OF THE
WEST-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA.

CLUSTERS OF MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE
OVER WESTERN VENEZUELA AND ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF
COLOMBIA...AS WELL AS OVER EL
SALVADOR IN CENTRAL AMERICA.

A DIFFLUENT PATTERN ALOFT IS ENHANCING THIS TSTM
ACTIVITY.

Central & Eastern Caribbean:

TRADEWINDS OF 15-20 KT DOMINATES THE CARIBBEAN.

WHILE A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH HAS ITS AXIS ALONG
64-65W.

DRY UPPER AIR AND STRONG SUBSIDENCE COVERS A GOOD
PORTION OF THE BASIN...INCLUDING THE GREATER ANTILLES.


AN OLD SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC
TO OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS IS STILL GENERATING BROKEN
TO OVERCAST CLOUDS, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
TSTM OVER PUERTO RICO, THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS...BUT ESPECIALLY ON THE
CARIBBEAN SIDE.

A SUBTROPICAL JET OVER THE W TROPICAL ATLC IS ALSO
PRODUCING SOME CLOUDINESS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER
THE LESSER ANTILLES.

THE SURFACE TROUGH WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE THROUGH
WED.

May 10 2006 (6:00 a.m.)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Tropical Prediction Center)

TODAY'S WEATHER

Partly cloudy, dry and hot weather continues over the
North West Caribbean, Belize and the Yucatan
peninsula.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will
experience for the next 24 hrs:

Partly cloudy skies today and tonight.

The highest temperature will be near 88 degrees F
after midday. Today's winds will be Easterly at 10 to
20Kts.

The sea state will be choppy. Seas will be 3 feet or
less beyond the reef.

The outlook is for partly cloudy and hot weather to
continue through Friday.


Current Weather:
San Pedro Lagoon 0700 hrs
Cloud
5/8 cumulus
Wind (direction & speed)
Southeast 12 Kts.
Tide level
0.54 m
Precipitation
None

Western Caribbean:

TRADES OF 10-15 KT DOMINATE MOST OF THE BASIN...EXCEPT
FOR 15 TO 20 ELY WINDS IN THE GULF OF HONDURAS.

A BROAD MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE COVERS THE MOST OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA AND CENTRAL AMERICA.

CLUSTERS OF MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER WESTERN COLOMBIA.

A DIFFLUENT PATTERN ALOFT IS ENHANCING THIS TSTM
ACTIVITY.

Central & Eastern Caribbean:

MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE COVERS CUBA...HISPANIOLA
AND JAMAICA AND A GOOD PORTION OF THE SEA...MAINLY
EAST OF 80W.
TYPICAL TRADE WIND SHOWERS ARE AROUND IN THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN. THE SAN JUAN DOPPLER RADAR SHOWS SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ACROSS THE ISLANDS. OTHER
SHOWERS ARE SEEN CLOSE TO THE NORTHERN COAST OF
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. REMNANTS OF AN OLD FRONTAL
BOUNDARY CONTINUE TO BRING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS
THE NE CARIBBEAN.

A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH LIES OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES.


NO MAJOR CHANGE IS EXPECTED IN THE WEATHER PATTERN
ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

May 11, 2006 (6:00 a.m.)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Tropical Prediction Center)

TODAY'S WEATHER

Partly cloudy and hot weather continues over the North
West Caribbean and Belize. Weak instability will
develop over the Yucatan peninsula.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will
experience for the next 24 hrs:

Partly cloudy skies today and tonight and isolated
early morning showers.

The highest temperature will be near 88 degrees F
after midday. Today's winds will be Easterly at 10 to
20Kts.

The sea state will be choppy. Seas will be 3 to 5
feet beyond the reef.

The outlook is for partly cloudy and hot weather with
a chance of isolated showers through Saturday.


Current Weather:
San Pedro Lagoon 0600 hrs
Cloud
4/8 cumulus
Wind (direction & speed)
East southeast 10 Kts.
Tide level
0.56 m
Precipitation
None

Western Caribbean:

TRADES ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN REMAIN LIGHT...GENERALLY
AROUND 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT 15 TO 20 KT NEAR THE GULF
OF HONDURAS. THESE CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND...THEN THE ELY WINDS INCREASE TO 15 TO 20
KT S OF 15N BY MON.

A BROAD UPPER RIDGE COVERS THE W-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN.

CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE
OBSERVED CLOSE TO LAKE MARACAIBO AND ALONG THE COASTAL
PLAINS OF COLOMBIA.

THE GULF OF MEXICO REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
BROAD UPPER RIDGE EXTENDING FROM AN UPPER HIGH LOCATED
OVER THE GULF OF HONDURAS.


Central & Eastern Caribbean:

TRADEWINDS OF 10-15 KT DOMINATES THE BASIN.

AN UPPER TROUGH IN THE W AND CENTRAL ATLC DIPS S
ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN N OF 11N E OF HISPANIOLA
INCLUDING THE LESSER ANTILLES. DRY UPPER AIR AND
STRONG SUBSIDENCE COVERS THE AREA E OF 80W.

BROKEN TO OVERCAST CLOUDS...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
SCATTRED TSTMS ARE AFFECTING THE EASTERN SECTOR OF
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...PUERTO RICO AND THE NEAR SHORE
COASTAL WATERS AS WELL AS THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...INCLUDING ALSO THE MONA PASSAGE.

REMNANTS OF AN OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY ARE STILL BRINGING
ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS THE NE CARIBBEAN.

A 1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS DEVELOPING JUST NORTH
OF PUERTO RICO DURING THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS. THIS
COUPLED WITH AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE AREA WILL KEEP
THE ATMOSPHERE VERY UNSTABLE WITH THE RISK OF LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THIS AREA TODAY.