Crown Weather:
Tropical Storm Lisa Forms In The Central Caribbean Sea & Is Expected To Make Landfall In Belize On Wednesday Night

Satellite imagery indicates that the low-level circulation with the system over the central Caribbean Sea has closed off. In addition, some deeper thunderstorm activity has developed with this system as well. Because of this, it has been upgraded to Tropical Storm Lisa by the National Hurricane Center.

Lisa is expected to head westward underneath a ridge of high pressure located to the north of the storm. This track will lead Lisa to move inland into Belize by Wednesday night. As for intensity, it appears that Lisa will encounter a gradually more favorable environment for strengthening as it heads westward into the western Caribbean Sea. That said, the air mass across the western Caribbean Sea remains very dry and because of this, the storm is likely to sputter at times. All-in-all, it appears that Lisa will slowly strengthen over the next couple of days and it's possible that it may not even reach hurricane strength by the time it makes landfall Wednesday night. My thinking is that it'll probably be a moderately strong tropical storm with perhaps 50-60 mph winds when it comes ashore in Belize on Wednesday night.

Lisa will produce squally weather across the island of Jamaica the rest of today and continue through Tuesday.

Tropical storm conditions are expected along the northern coast of Honduras and across Belize and the southern Yucatan Peninsula beginning on Wednesday and continuing through Wednesday night and into Thursday.

[Linked Image]

=========================

Advisory #1: Tropical Storm Lisa

The National Meteorological Service of Belize and the National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO) hereby inform the public that at 10:00 a.m. (local time), Tropical Storm Lisa was located near latitude 15.5N, longitude 77.3W or about 735 miles East by South of Belize City. Lisa was moving to the west at 12 mph with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph and a minimum central pressure of 1003 mb. Lisa is to continue on a general west to west-north-westward track for the next few days. On this forecast path, the system will move south of Jamaica today, north of the northern coast of Honduras on Tuesday, and then approach the coast of Belize late Wednesday with landfall possible on Belize late on Wednesday night or early Thursday morning. Strengthening is expected and Lisa is expected to be a category 1 hurricane by landfall on the country.

This system will bring heavy rainfall to the country starting on Wednesday and continuing through Thursday which will result in flooding across low-lying and flood-prone areas of the country as the ground is already saturated. Daily rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with locally higher amounts are likely. Winds of category 1 hurricane strength of 74-95 mph are expected near the landfall location with a storm surge of 3-5 feet to the north of where the centre makes landfall.

NEMO advises the public to:

1. Put your family/emergency plan into action, check your emergency food, water and medical supplies. Check on the elderly and persons with disabilities.

2. Make early preparations to leave high-risk areas; voluntarily relocate to a safe location before the system makes landfall if you live in a low-lying area or vulnerable coastal community. Know which shelter you will go to.

3. Secure your home and your important documents. Secure loose objects and flammable material. 4. Municipalities and the public are advised to clear drains to reduce flooding.

Tropical systems can cause large tree branches to break and be uprooted. Damage to power lines will result in power outages that could last a few to several days, which may affect the water supply. Sewage system failure is likely. Falling debris could strike people, livestock, and pets. Protected windows will generally make it through a hurricane without major damage. Low-lying escape routes inland will be cut off by rising water 3 to 5 hours before landfall, and a flat terrain 5 feet or less above sea level can be flooded up to 8 or more miles inland.

Residents are advised to continue monitoring this system very closely and to follow official information coming from NEMO and the National Meteorological Service. Countrywide, all NEMO district emergency operations centers are to be activated by 6:00 p.m.

NEMO's emergency hotline is 936 (NEMO)

==================

Don't wait until Wednesday to secure your vessel. Move all boats to the west side. Operators please think early and protect your investment. Boats should be secure by Tuesday afternoon.

==================

Belize Issues Hurricane Watch Declaration

Effective midday, today, 31st October 2022, the Prime Minister of Belize, in his capacity as the Chairman of the National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO). hereby declares a hurricane watch (RED - 1) for the entire coast of Belize. This means that a tropical cyclone threatens the country of Belize and it is likely to make landfall within 36 to 48 hours. One red flag with a black center is to be flown at all signal centers throughout the country.

The public is advised to put their individual emergency disaster plans into effect, including preparations to voluntarily relocate to safe shelter if necessary. Public and private essential agencies, utility companies and non-essential agencies must immediately implement plans of action, including closure of schools, securing of work-stations, the release of workers and the securing of ports of entry. All businesses should implement their disaster plans. NEMO must be prepared to open adequate shelters wherever necessary and to conduct Search and Rescue operations where lives are at risk.

=======================

San Pedro Town Shelter List 2022

[Linked Image]

A Hurricane Watch (Red 1) has been declared for the entire coast of Belize.

The public is advised to put their individual emergency disaster plan into effect, including preparations to voluntarily relocate to safe shelter if necessary.

The San Pedro Town Council will be closed today Oct 31 at 4pm until an all clear is declared.

All businesses are advised to properly secure all signs.

The Sanitation Department advises all homeowners to secure garage bins.

The Building Unit advises all construction sites to bring down any scaffolding to clean up the sites off loose material, equipment and debris.

Stay Safe and follow all advisories from NEMO.

[Linked Image]

===========

Tropical Storm Lisa Could Be A Category 1 Hurricane at Landfall in Belize

Tonight, Tropical Storm Lisa is chugging through the Eastern Caribbean Sea - and she has her sights set on Belize.

That's why all of Belize is under a RED - 1 Hurricane Watch tonight - meaning that Lisa is expected to make landfall somewhere along the coast of Belize within 36 to 48 hours.

At 6:00 pm, TS Lisa was centered about 630 miles east Southeast of Belize City, moving west at 14 miles an hour, with maximum winds of 45 miles per hour.

So, what should you do now? And what do you need to get ready for? Here's most of what you need to know about Lisa tonight - from a NEMO virtual press conference this morning:



Second Phase flag is up in San Pedro.

[Linked Image]

Do you know the Hurricane Flag Signals? Here's a quick lesson courtesy of the Ministry of Education.

[Linked Image]